Safety & Crime Index
50/100
Worth extra due diligence — 22% above average
Average
Verified US Location Data
We confirmed “Modesto, CA” via US geocoding. Safety, Schools, and Noise scores are uniquely generated for this exact location.
Verified Neighborhood Report
Location verified via US geocoding. Safety, Schools, and Noise scores are deterministically modeled for this exact place.
Report status
US location · verified
Neighborhood intelligence
Safety, noise, schools, air quality, true cost, hazard, and commute intelligence for Modesto.
50/100
Worth extra due diligence — 22% above average
Average
39 dB — Quiet Suburb
Open-Meteo 16-day avg 85°F
Quiet — Low environmental index
B+
16:1 staffing ratio · Modeled district estimate from public data
Top 35% statewide
AQI 35 — Good
Low pollen & dust baseline · wind index 73 (100 = avg)
Good / Low Pollen
Side-by-side
See how Modesto stacks up on rent, safety, schools, and weather.
Neighborhood guide
Living in Modesto CA is less about a vibe and more about a few numbers you can check before you sign a lease or an offer. Modesto, CA currently shows a safety score of 50/100, schools grading out around B+, typical rent near $1,758 a month, and recent typical temperatures around 85°F. The write-up below turns those report figures into plain language so you can decide whether Modesto actually fits how you live, commute, and budget.
Public estimates put the population near 218,308 people, which is large enough that neighborhoods inside Modesto can feel very different from one another. Use citywide scores as a starting map, then zoom into the block you are actually considering.
Modesto, CA has a safety score of 50/100, meaning crime rates run about 22% above the national average. The report labels overall public safety as “Average.” That score is designed so roughly the low-70s tracks a U.S. average crime load — higher numbers generally mean less crime pressure, and lower numbers mean you should ask more questions about specific streets, lighting, and night activity.
Looking under the hood, Modesto currently shows an overall crime index of 122 (100 = avg), a violent crime index of 132, a property crime index of 112. Violent and property crime do not always move together, which is why a “pretty safe” city can still have frustrating car-break-in pockets, and a higher-crime city can still have calm residential streets. If you are relocating with teenagers or late-night commutes, weigh night conditions as carefully as the composite score.
People googling “Is Modesto CA Safe?” usually want a yes or no. The better framing is whether the score matches your risk tolerance. Households coming from very low-crime suburbs often notice even average U.S. cities more than people leaving denser metros. Use the 50/100 figure as a filter, then confirm with a few evenings on the ground before you commit to a lease in Modesto.
Families researching schools will find Modesto Elementary rated 7/10 for elementary, along with Modesto Middle School rated 7/10 for middle school and Modesto High School rated 8/10 for high school. Those campus ratings sit on a 10-point scale in this report, so a 7/10 is solidly middle-of-the-pack rather than a crisis, and a 9/10 is a standout you should still verify with current district boundaries.
Overall, schools in Modesto CA grade out around B+ (Top 35% statewide). Reported student-teacher staffing is about 16:1. Recent context from the report: Modeled district estimate from public data. Parents moving in from another state should confirm enrollment documents, immunization rules, and whether Modesto uses lotteries or neighborhood assignment — those process details affect waitlists as much as the rating on a campus.
If schools are a deal-breaker, do not stop at the city headline. Request the exact elementary, middle, and high school for the address you want, then sit in a pickup line or a Friday football game if you can. Ratings in Modesto are a screening tool. The daily experience — class size, special-education capacity, after-school care — is what you actually move for.
Cost of living in Modesto CA is easiest to grasp from housing. A practical rent estimate in this report is $1,758 per month, while typical home values sit near $381,800. Rent context: HUD Fair Market Rent (2-bedroom) $1,758/mo. Home-value context: ACS 2022 median home value $381,800. Those figures are city-scale: a renovated bungalow near jobs will price differently than a farther-out three-bedroom, so use them as a budget anchor rather than a listing promise.
Beyond the rent line, Modesto currently reflects median household income around $73,375; property tax near 1.45% of assessed value; about $215 per square foot; homes typically lingering around 28 days on market; recent appreciation on the order of 14.2% over the modeled window; a housing mix of roughly 58% owners and 42% renters. Income versus rent is the gut-check: if your household is well above the local median, Modesto CA will feel easier; if you are stretching to the rent estimate, leave room for utilities, insurance, and the inevitable first-month overlap of two households.
Daily costs are not only rent. Walk Score in this report is 68 (Somewhat Walkable), and transit scores around 42 — Some Transit. If you can drop a second car because more of Modesto is errand-friendly, that savings can dwarf a $100 swing in monthly rent. If you will drive everywhere, add fuel, parking, and insurance before you call the cost of living in Modesto CA “doable.”
Weather in Modesto CA recently averages around 85°F in the modeled window, with typical highs near 102°F and lows near 67°F. That reads as a hot climate compared with a 70°F comfort baseline, which matters for utility bills as much as weekend plans. People moving from colder metros often underestimate cooling costs in Modesto; people moving from hotter ones notice the milder weeks first.
Environmental indices for Modesto currently include weather hazard index 20 (100 = avg); wind hazard index 73 (100 = avg); tornado index —; earthquake index —. The area’s environmental read is “Quiet.” Indexes around 100 track a typical U.S. load, so a number well above that is a prompt to price insurance deductibles and backup power, not a reason to panic. Ask your insurer how Modesto CA wind, hail, or flood rules would change a premium versus where you live now.
If outdoor life is part of why you want Modesto CA, visit in the least flattering season you can. A January ice event or an August heat week tells you more about living in Modesto than a perfect Saturday. Pack that reality into the cost-of-living math: higher bills, different hobbies, and occasionally a delayed closing or school-year weather day.
So should you move to Modesto CA? If the safety score, school ratings, and $1,758 rent estimate line up with your budget and risk tolerance, Modesto is worth a serious visit — not just a weekend of restaurants. Bring a weekday morning and a weeknight so you see traffic, school pickup, and noise, not only the brochure version of living in Modesto CA.
If any one pillar is a mismatch — schools that sit below what your kids need, rent that consumes too much of income, or a safety score that makes you uneasy — treat that as a signal to compare other cities rather than talking yourself into it. The point of this snapshot of living in Modesto CA is to surface those tradeoffs in plain language, using the same report values shown in the dashboard above.
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True ownership costs, insurance hazards, and commute math for Modesto.
Property tax trajectories and climate-adjusted utility estimates
Monthly carrying cost
$2,623
Mortgage + tax + insurance + HOA
Annual property tax
$5,536
Annual est. $5,580
Est. monthly utilities
$598
Climate-adjusted electric, gas & water
Median home price
$381,800
ACS 2022 median home value $381,800
Home price trend
5-year median sale price
Modeled from +14.2% cumulative appreciation · median sale price by year
Rent vs buy index
Estimated monthly cost comparison
Mortgage
$1,931
Property tax
$461
Insurance
$136
HOA
$95
Buy estimate: 20% down, 30-yr fixed at 6.5% APR · taxes, insurance & HOA included
Property tax trajectory
Effective rate and estimated annual bill on median home
2023
1.33%
$5,066/yr
2024
1.37%
$5,218/yr
2025
1.41%
$5,375/yr
2026
1.45%
$5,536/yr
Flood zone exposure and average insurance premium impacts
Flood zone
Zone X — minimal flood risk
moderate exposureWildfire hazard index
20 (100 = avg)
low exposureEst. annual homeowners insurance
$1,636/yr
moderate exposureFlood and wind exposure can materially affect premiums — verify FEMA maps and carrier quotes before closing. Estimated annual homeowners insurance: $1,636.
Work address, MPG, and toll footprint estimates
Work commute & expense calculator
Monthly gas and toll footprint from Modesto to your workplace
One-way drive
~24 min
At ~30 mph average
Monthly fuel
$66
18.9 gal · 22 days
Monthly tolls
$0
Round-trip toll estimate
Monthly total
$66
Gas + tolls · 48 min/day
Annual footprint
$792
Commute-only estimate
✓ Data sourced from U.S. Census Bureau, HUD, FBI & Open-Meteo